默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Casper Ruud v Rafael Jodar

2026-11-03 19:30 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

37%

63%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Casper Ruud (主队)

预测 37.02%2.70公平赔率

EV +0.687%

优势 +0.253%

Kelly +0.400%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.72

博彩公司预测分布

35.47%36.97%37.01%38.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.352.532.502.7242.55%39.51%40.00%36.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rafael Jodar (客队)

预测 62.98%1.59公平赔率

EV -3.01%

优势 -1.95%

Kelly -5.57%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布

61.68%63.03%62.99%64.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.60%66.67%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Casper Ruud (主队)：37.02%；Rafael Jodar (客队)：62.98%。对于“Casper Ruud (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.70。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.72，由此产生+0.687%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +0.687%E +0.253%K +0.400%G +0.003%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 19:55
Coolbet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.053%E -0.020%K -0.031%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-11-02 19:44
FanDuel🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.793%E -0.296%K -0.472%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.56%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-02 19:19
SportsBet🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -1.53%E -0.577%K -0.924%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 19:30
DraftKings🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.27%E -0.861%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.56%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:29
1xBet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.64%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-02 19:35
Sky Bet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.64%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-02 19:20
Paddy Power🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.01%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 19:20
Bovada🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 21:00
888sport🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:30
William Hill🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:30
Bet Right🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.56%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
PlayUp🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:45
Coral🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:30
BetMGM🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
GTbets🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-02 19:15
Fanatics🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
NordicBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betsson🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-02 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:40
Neds🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:30
LeoVegas🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.42%E -5.04%K -15.78%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.42%E -5.04%K -15.78%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-02 19:15
betano_uk🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 19:43
Bet Victor🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Casumo🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
TABtouch🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
BetRivers🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Grosvenor🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
betPARX🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:14
Bally Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 36.99%EV -8.57%E -3.47%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-02 20:55
picklebet_au🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-02 19:35
theScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-02 19:35
ReBet🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.68%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.56%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-02 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -11.90%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -7.42%E -5.04%K -15.78%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -11.90%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -7.42%E -5.04%K -15.78%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -13.01%E -5.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.49%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-11-02 19:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Matchbook◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%	1.2%	2026-11-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%	1.6%	2026-11-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%	1.6%	2026-11-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%	1.6%	2026-11-02 20:40
Smarkets◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%	3.1%	2026-11-02 20:55
ProphetX◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%	4.1%	2026-11-02 20:45
Novig◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%	4.2%	2026-11-02 20:40

Casper Ruud v Rafael Jodar

胜负盘

Casper Ruud (主队)

Rafael Jodar (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (7)

博彩交易所 (7)