Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Rafael Jodar

2026-11-03 19:30 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

37%

63%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Predicción 37.02%2.70momio equitativo

EV +0.687%

Ventaja +0.253%

Kelly +0.400%

Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

35.47%36.97%37.01%38.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.352.532.502.7242.55%39.51%40.00%36.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rafael Jodar (Visitante)

Predicción 62.98%1.59momio equitativo

EV -3.01%

Ventaja -1.95%

Kelly -5.57%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

61.68%63.03%62.99%64.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.60%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Casper Ruud (Local): 37.02%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 62.98%. Para Casper Ruud (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.70. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.72, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.687%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle🎯	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +0.687%E +0.253%K +0.400%G +0.003%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 19:55
Coolbet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.053%E -0.020%K -0.031%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-11-02 19:44
FanDuel🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.793%E -0.296%K -0.472%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.56%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-02 19:19
SportsBet🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -1.53%E -0.577%K -0.924%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 19:30
DraftKings🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.27%E -0.861%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.56%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:29
1xBet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.64%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-02 19:35
Sky Bet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.64%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-02 19:20
Paddy Power🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.01%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 19:20
Bovada🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 21:00
888sport🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:30
William Hill🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:30
Bet Right🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.56%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
PlayUp🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:45
Coral🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:30
BetMGM🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.79%E -4.58%K -14.14%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
GTbets🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.75%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-02 19:15
Fanatics🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
NordicBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betsson🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.20%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-02 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:40
Neds🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:30
LeoVegas🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.42%E -5.04%K -15.78%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.42%E -5.04%K -15.78%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-02 19:15
betano_uk🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 19:43
Bet Victor🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Casumo🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
TABtouch🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
BetRivers🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Grosvenor🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
betPARX🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:14
Bally Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 36.99%EV -8.57%E -3.47%K -5.83%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-02 20:55
picklebet_au🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-02 19:35
theScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.68%K -11.05%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-02 19:35
ReBet🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.68%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.16%E -4.13%K -12.56%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-02 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -11.90%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -7.42%E -5.04%K -15.78%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -11.90%E -5.00%K -8.62%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -7.42%E -5.04%K -15.78%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -13.01%E -5.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.49%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-11-02 19:34

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Matchbook◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%	1.2%	2026-11-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%	1.6%	2026-11-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%	1.6%	2026-11-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%	1.6%	2026-11-02 20:40
Smarkets◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%	3.1%	2026-11-02 20:55
ProphetX◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%	4.1%	2026-11-02 20:45
Novig◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%	4.2%	2026-11-02 20:40