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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Ben Shelton v Carlos Alcaraz

Inizio: 2026-11-08 14:14 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ben Shelton (Casa)

Previsione 23.49%4.26quota equa
EV +5.70%
Vantaggio +1.27%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescita +0.093%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.47%23.48%23.63%25.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.994.004.5027.78%25.06%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Carlos Alcaraz (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.51%1.31quota equa
EV -0.535%
Vantaggio -0.411%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.23%76.52%76.37%78.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.241.241.3085.47%80.65%80.65%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ben Shelton (Casa): 23.49%; Carlos Alcaraz (Trasferta): 76.51%. Per Ben Shelton (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.26. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.70%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +5.70%E +1.27%K +1.63%G +0.093%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-08 14:05
DraftKings🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.82%E +0.864%K +1.12%G +0.043%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 14:05
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.35%E +0.761%K +0.985%G +0.033%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 14:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.999%E +0.232%K +0.303%G +0.003%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 14:04
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.176%E -0.041%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 13:00
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 14:04
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 14:05
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 14:00
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 13:55
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 08:35
FanDuel🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.52%E -0.608%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 12:59
Pinnacle🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.62%EV -2.76%E -0.666%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.38%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-11-08 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -2.99%E -0.725%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 14:02
LowVig.ag🎯4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -2.99%E -0.725%K -0.957%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 14:02
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.70%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-08 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.70%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 07:45
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.87%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 13:55
GTbets🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 24.48%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.52%EV -0.535%E -0.411%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-11-08 07:35
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-08 11:40
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 09:55
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 09:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 14:05
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 09:55
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:14
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 12:15
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 11:25
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 11:25
BetAnything🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.60%E -2.85%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 13:55
picklebet_au🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.19%E -6.82%K -40.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.95%E -7.52%K -47.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-08 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 13:40
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 13:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.42%E -6.13%K -35.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 13:05
1xBet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -10.28%E -2.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 14:04
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 07:35
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 11:40
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.30%E -1.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 07:44
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-08 07:15
Fliff🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.19%E -6.82%K -40.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-08 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.48%E -8.96%K -61.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-08 14:04
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.44%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 09:55
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.44%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 12:13
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-11-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-11-08 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-11-08 13:50
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09%0.3%2026-11-08 14:05
ProphetX◎4.15I 24.10%NM 23.85%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.15%1.0%2026-11-08 14:05
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-11-08 13:50
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-11-08 14:05

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