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Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 4.50
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ben Shelton (Local) : 23.49% ; Carlos Alcaraz (Visiteur) : 76.51%. Pour Ben Shelton (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.26. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +5.70%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +5.70%E +1.27%K +1.63%G +0.093% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +3.82%E +0.864%K +1.12%G +0.043% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.35%E +0.761%K +0.985%G +0.033% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-08 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.999%E +0.232%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-08 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.176%E -0.041%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.89%E -4.79%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-11-08 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-08 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-08 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-08 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.35%E -0.321%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-08 08:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.52%E -0.608%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-08 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.62%EV -2.76%E -0.666%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.38%EV -2.06%E -1.61%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-11-08 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -2.99%E -0.725%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-08 14:02 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -2.99%E -0.725%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-08 14:02 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.70%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.70%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-08 07:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.87%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-08 13:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.48%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.52%EV -0.535%E -0.411%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-11-08 07:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-11-08 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 05:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-08 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.13%E -4.13%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-08 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.05%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-08 11:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.22%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -3.60%E -2.85%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-08 13:55 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-11-08 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.19%E -6.82%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-11-08 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -8.40%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.95%E -7.52%K -47.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-08 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-08 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.57%E -2.49%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.42%E -6.13%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-11-08 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -10.28%E -2.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-11-08 14:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.83%E -2.23%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-11-08 09:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-08 07:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-08 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.75%E -2.83%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-08 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.30%E -1.01%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-11-08 07:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-08 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-08 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-08 07:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.66%E -5.46%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.19%E -6.82%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-11-08 12:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.92%E -3.18%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.48%E -8.96%K -61.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-11-08 14:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.44%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-11-08 09:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.44%E -4.29%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.36%E -3.49%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-11-08 12:13 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-11-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-11-08 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09% | 0.3% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.85% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.15% | 1.0% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 1.9% | 2026-11-08 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 2.5% | 2026-11-08 14:05 |
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