The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Alex Molcan v Taylor Fritz

2026-11-04 13:50 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alex Molcan (Local)

Prediction 22.90%4.37fair odd
EV +5.35%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%22.86%22.93%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.454.084.004.6028.99%24.52%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Visit)

Prediction 77.10%1.30fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -7.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.51%77.14%77.07%79.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.231.2784.75%81.48%80.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alex Molcan (Local): 22.90%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 77.10%. For Alex Molcan (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.60, producing a positive expected value of +5.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.35%E +1.16%K +1.49%G +0.079%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 23:00
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.06%E +0.680%K +0.874%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 23:00
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.06%E +0.680%K +0.874%G +0.027%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 00:55
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.06%E +0.680%K +0.874%G +0.027%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 23:00
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.06%E +0.680%K +0.874%G +0.027%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +0.769%E +0.175%K +0.226%G +0.002%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-03 23:15
Pinnacle🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 22.10%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.90%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-04 01:05
Coolbet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -0.376%E -0.086%K -0.112%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-04 00:54
1xBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.52%E -0.354%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-03 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -1.52%E -0.354%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.02%E -7.65%K -50.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 22:55
GTbets🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.88%EV -1.98%E -0.462%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.12%EV -2.09%E -1.64%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-11-03 23:15
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.67%E -0.627%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 23:06
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.67%E -0.627%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-04 00:59
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.67%E -0.627%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:00
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 23:15
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 23:15
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 23:15
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.81%E -0.908%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 23:15
Fanatics🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.96%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 22:55
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.10%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.25%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 00:54
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 00:54
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.90%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 00:55
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 01:05
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-04 01:00
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.39%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-03 22:44
picklebet_au🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.54%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-03 23:15
ReBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.54%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 23:15
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.54%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 01:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.54%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -8.25%E -6.94%K -43.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-04 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.68%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.71%E -5.55%K -31.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 23:15
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 23:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.97%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-04 00:54
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.12%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.12%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -27.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.12%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.48%E -6.24%K -37.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-03 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -20.99%E -6.08%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 74.51%EV -9.02%E -7.65%K -50.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-03 23:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-11-04 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-11-04 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-11-04 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-11-04 00:55
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-11-04 00:55
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%3.5%2026-11-04 00:55
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%3.9%2026-11-04 01:05