L’École des cotesodds.tennis
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Alex Molcan v Taylor Fritz

2026-11-04 13:50 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Molcan (Local)

Prévision 22.90%4.37cote équitable
EV +5.33%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.079%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%22.90%22.93%25.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.454.084.004.6028.99%24.54%25.00%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.10%1.30cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -7.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.51%77.10%77.07%79.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.241.2784.75%81.48%80.65%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alex Molcan (Local) : 22.90% ; Taylor Fritz (Visiteur) : 77.10%. Pour Alex Molcan (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.37. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.60, pour une espérance positive de +5.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +5.33%E +1.16%K +1.48%G +0.079%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 23:00
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.04%E +0.677%K +0.870%G +0.026%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 23:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.04%E +0.677%K +0.870%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 23:00
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.04%E +0.677%K +0.870%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +0.754%E +0.171%K +0.222%G +0.002%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-03 23:15
Pinnacle🎯4.38I 22.83%NM 22.06%EV +0.296%E +0.068%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.94%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-04 01:35
DraftKings🎯4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV +0.296%E +0.068%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-04 01:14
Coolbet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -0.391%E -0.090%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-04 00:54
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -1.54%E -0.357%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.02%E -7.64%K -50.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 22:55
GTbets🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.88%EV -1.99%E -0.466%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.12%EV -2.08%E -1.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-11-03 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -1.99%E -0.466%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-04 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -1.99%E -0.466%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-04 01:40
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.68%E -0.631%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 23:06
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.68%E -0.631%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:00
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.83%E -0.911%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 23:15
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.83%E -0.911%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 23:15
Fanatics🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.97%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 23:15
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 01:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 22:55
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-04 01:14
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.26%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 00:54
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 00:54
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 01:20
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-04 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-04 01:15
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-04 01:15
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-04 01:15
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-04 01:00
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-03 22:44
picklebet_au🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-03 23:15
ReBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 23:15
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 01:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -8.25%E -6.93%K -43.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-04 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-03 23:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-04 00:54
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.13%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.13%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.13%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-03 23:08
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -21.00%E -6.09%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 74.51%EV -9.02%E -7.64%K -50.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-03 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68%0.9%2026-11-04 01:30
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-11-04 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-11-04 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-11-04 01:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-11-04 01:15
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%2.7%2026-11-04 01:30
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-11-04 01:15