Language:English
Vit Kopriva v Luciano Darderi
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vit Kopriva (Local)
Prediction 29.25%3.42fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.675%
Kelly +0.945%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%29.53%29.05%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.203.253.5034.48%31.21%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Visit)
Prediction 70.75%1.41fair odd
EV -0.945%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%70.47%70.95%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.341.341.4077.52%74.49%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vit Kopriva (Local): 29.25%; Luciano Darderi (Visit): 70.75%. For Vit Kopriva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.36%E +0.675%K +0.945%G +0.022% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.73%E -6.77%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.90%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 14:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 13:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.83%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.31%E -5.58%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -13.72%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 21:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |