La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vit Kopriva v Luciano Darderi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vit Kopriva (Local)
Predicción 29.25%3.42momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +0.675%
Kelly +0.945%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%29.53%29.05%32.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.203.253.5034.48%31.21%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Predicción 70.75%1.41momio equitativo
EV -0.945%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%70.47%70.95%73.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.341.341.4077.52%74.49%74.63%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.36%E +0.675%K +0.945%G +0.022% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.73%E -6.77%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:50 |
| ReBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 11:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.90%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:46 |
| Pinnacle | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 14:48 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 13:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| GTbets | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.83%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.31%E -5.58%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 07:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -13.72%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 11:20 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 18:45 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 21:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| ProphetX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 14:20 |
| Novig | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |