A Escola das Odds

Vit Kopriva v Luciano Darderi

Início: 2026-04-15 15:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Vit Kopriva (Local)

Previsão 29.25%3.42odd justa
EV +2.36%
Vantagem +0.675%
Kelly +0.945%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.93%29.53%29.05%32.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.203.253.5034.48%31.21%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Luciano Darderi (Visitante)

Previsão 70.75%1.41odd justa
EV -0.945%
Vantagem -0.675%
Kelly -2.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%70.47%70.95%73.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.291.341.341.4077.52%74.49%74.63%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +2.36%E +0.675%K +0.945%G +0.022%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.73%E -6.77%K -30.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 14:30
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-15 14:30
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 14:50
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.562%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 14:30
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -1.73%E -0.516%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 14:50
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 14:30
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 11:25
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 14:30
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.90%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 14:30
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 14:30
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 14:30
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 14:46
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.55%EV -3.78%E -1.15%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.45%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 14:48
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 14:30
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 13:18
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 14:30
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 14:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 14:30
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:19
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 14:30
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.83%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:20
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 15:00
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 14:50
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 14:30
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 14:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.61%E -5.00%K -20.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 14:30
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.31%E -5.58%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 14:30
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.02%E -6.17%K -26.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 14:30
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 15:01
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 15:00
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 08:30
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.78%E -2.78%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 07:25
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.19%E -3.87%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 14:30
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 15:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 07:25
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 07:25
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 14:59
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.90%E -4.43%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 07:20
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -13.72%E -4.65%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 11:20
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 18:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 21:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.945%E -0.675%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 21:30
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -15.19%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.36%E -1.71%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 21:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-04-15 15:01
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-15 15:01
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-04-15 14:20
Novig3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%2.1%2026-04-15 15:01