Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Justin Engel v Vit Kopriva

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Justin Engel (Local)

Prediction 29.71%3.37fair odd
EV +3.99%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%29.64%29.94%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.153.5033.33%31.43%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vit Kopriva (Visit)

Prediction 70.29%1.42fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -7.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%70.36%70.06%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.351.341.3877.52%74.34%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Justin Engel (Local): 29.71%; Vit Kopriva (Visit): 70.29%. For Justin Engel (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.92%E -6.05%K -25.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 10:20
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV +3.40%E +0.976%K +1.37%G +0.047%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +1.02%E +0.300%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.02%E +0.300%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.128%E +0.038%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.128%E +0.038%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:55
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.33%E -7.23%K -32.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 11:05
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 10:24
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 11:05
1xBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -2.55%E -0.776%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:51
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
DraftKings🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.11%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 10:25
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:46
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 10:25
SportsBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.30%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 10:25
ReBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:25
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:24
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:23
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 10:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.00%E -2.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 10:20
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-14 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-14 10:43
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%2.2%2026-04-14 10:25
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-04-14 10:25