L’École des cotes

Justin Engel v Vit Kopriva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Justin Engel (Local)

Prévision 29.71%3.37cote équitable
EV +3.99%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.23%29.64%29.94%31.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.153.5033.33%31.43%31.75%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vit Kopriva (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.29%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -7.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.49%70.36%70.06%72.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.351.341.3877.52%74.34%74.63%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.92%E -6.05%K -25.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 10:20
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV +3.40%E +0.976%K +1.37%G +0.047%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +1.02%E +0.300%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.02%E +0.300%K +0.425%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 11:14
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.128%E +0.038%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 10:25
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.128%E +0.038%K +0.054%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:55
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.33%E -7.23%K -32.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 11:05
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 10:24
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 11:05
1xBet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -2.55%E -0.776%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:51
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:25
DraftKings3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.11%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 10:25
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
FanDuel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:46
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 10:25
SportsBet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.30%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 10:25
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:25
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:24
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 11:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:23
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 10:24
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:25
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.00%E -2.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:25
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 10:20
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-14 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-14 10:43
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-14 10:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-04-14 10:25
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%2.2%2026-04-14 10:25
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-04-14 10:25