La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Justin Engel v Vit Kopriva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Justin Engel (Local)
Predicción 29.71%3.37momio equitativo
EV +3.99%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.064%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.23%29.64%29.94%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.153.5033.33%31.43%31.75%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vit Kopriva (Visitante)
Predicción 70.29%1.42momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -7.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%70.36%70.06%72.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.351.341.3877.52%74.34%74.63%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.92%E -6.05%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV +3.40%E +0.976%K +1.37%G +0.047% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +1.02%E +0.300%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.79%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.02%E +0.300%K +0.425%G +0.004% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.128%E +0.038%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.128%E +0.038%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.466%E -0.139%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.33%E -7.23%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| BetUS | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -2.55%E -0.776%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:51 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -6.11%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| Neds | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -7.30%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ReBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.00%E -2.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:23 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.70%E -2.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.00%E -2.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.41%E -3.24%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.52%E -4.90%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 10:43 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Novig | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51% | 2.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |