The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Joao Fonseca v Ben Shelton

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Joao Fonseca (Local)

Prediction 64.17%1.56fair odd
EV -0.541%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.984%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.41%64.07%63.91%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5571.43%68.33%68.97%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ben Shelton (Visit)

Prediction 35.83%2.79fair odd
EV +7.50%
Edge +2.50%
Kelly +3.75%
Growth +0.281%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%35.93%36.09%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.632.653.0042.55%38.02%37.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Joao Fonseca (Local): 64.17%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 35.83%. For Ben Shelton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -10.17%E -7.26%K -25.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +7.50%E +2.50%K +3.75%G +0.281%4.8%2026-04-17 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV +5.71%E +1.93%K +2.93%G +0.167%2.4%2026-04-17 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.92%E +1.35%K +2.06%G +0.081%4.9%2026-04-17 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.17%E -7.26%K -25.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.332%E +0.119%K +0.185%G +0.001%7.1%2026-04-17 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -0.384%E -0.138%K -0.216%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 13:34
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 13:32
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.834%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.53%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.53%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -2.53%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 13:36
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 13:44
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 13:45
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 13:44
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 13:44
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:44
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.12%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 13:45
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 13:44
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 13:34
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 13:44
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 13:39
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -13.28%E -5.49%K -9.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 13:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -1.82%E -1.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.72%E -6.18%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -0.541%E -0.349%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -15.08%E -6.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:44
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -0.541%E -0.349%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -15.08%E -6.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.18%E -0.768%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-04-17 13:45
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.4%2026-04-17 13:44
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-04-17 13:45
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%4.0%2026-04-17 13:45
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%6.3%2026-04-17 13:45