Joao Fonseca v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-04-17 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

64%

36%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Local)

Previsão 64.17%1.56odd justa

EV -0.541%

Vantagem -0.349%

Kelly -0.984%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

60.41%64.07%63.91%68.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

1.401.461.451.5571.43%68.33%68.97%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 35.83%2.79odd justa

EV +7.50%

Vantagem +2.50%

Kelly +3.75%

Crescimento +0.281%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

31.82%35.93%36.09%39.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

2.352.632.653.0042.55%38.02%37.74%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante ▼	Margem	Atualização
Bovada	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -10.17%E -7.26%K -25.42%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +7.50%E +2.50%K +3.75%G +0.281%	4.8%	2026-04-17 13:40
Pinnacle	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV +5.71%E +1.93%K +2.93%G +0.167%	2.4%	2026-04-17 13:35
Bet Right	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +3.92%E +1.35%K +2.06%G +0.081%	4.9%	2026-04-17 13:30
Bet Victor	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.17%E -7.26%K -25.42%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.332%E +0.119%K +0.185%G +0.001%	7.1%	2026-04-17 13:44
Marathon Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -0.384%E -0.138%K -0.216%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-17 13:34
Betway	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.834%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-17 13:45
Betr (AU)	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.834%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-17 13:32
William Hill	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.834%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-17 13:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -1.46%E -0.531%K -0.834%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-17 13:45
LowVig.ag	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.53%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-04-17 13:34
BetOnline.ag	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.39%E -2.95%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.53%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-04-17 13:34
SportsBet	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -2.53%E -0.932%K -1.47%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-17 13:36
FanDuel	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-04-17 13:44
PlayUp	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-17 13:30
theScore Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-17 13:45
TAB	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.88%E -6.26%K -21.15%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-17 13:44
Coolbet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-17 13:44
NordicBet	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-17 13:44
Neds	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-17 13:30
Paddy Power	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.12%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-17 13:45
DraftKings	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -3.11%E -2.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-04-17 13:44
Caesars	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.49%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-17 13:34
Betsson	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-17 13:45
Winamax (DE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-17 13:45
Fanatics	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -7.60%E -5.28%K -17.27%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.63%E -3.38%K -5.57%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-04-17 13:44
Sky Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-17 13:44
888sport	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-17 13:44
888sport (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-17 13:44
Mr Green (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.50%K -7.50%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-17 13:45
Tipico (DE)	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-04-17 13:39
Fliff	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.96%E -4.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-04-17 13:44
Winamax (FR)	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.17%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-04-17 13:45
Betclic (FR)	1.46I 68.49%NM 62.37%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.73%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -13.28%E -5.49%K -9.36%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-04-17 13:39
BoyleSports	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -1.82%E -1.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -14.72%E -6.18%K -10.66%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-17 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -0.541%E -0.349%K -0.984%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -15.08%E -6.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-17 13:44
Coral	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -0.541%E -0.349%K -0.984%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -15.08%E -6.36%K -11.00%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-17 13:44
BetMGM	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.18%E -0.768%K -2.19%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-17 13:44

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	0.5%	2026-04-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	0.5%	2026-04-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%	0.9%	2026-04-17 13:45
Matchbook	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%	1.4%	2026-04-17 13:44
Smarkets	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%	1.4%	2026-04-17 13:45
ProphetX	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%	4.0%	2026-04-17 13:45
Novig	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%	6.3%	2026-04-17 13:45