Language:English
Botic van de Zandschulp v Francisco Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)
Prediction 31.72%3.15fair odd
EV +17.04%
Edge +4.62%
Kelly +6.33%
Growth +1.08%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%31.40%31.51%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.992.903.6939.22%33.42%34.48%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 68.28%1.46fair odd
EV -0.308%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.669%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.52%68.60%68.49%73.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.381.381.4678.13%72.60%72.46%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 31.72%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 68.28%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV +17.04%E +4.62%K +6.33%G +1.08% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV +17.04%E +4.62%K +6.33%G +1.08% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 08:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +11.96%E +3.39%K +4.73%G +0.566% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +11.01%E +3.15%K +4.40%G +0.485% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 09:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +11.01%E +3.15%K +4.40%G +0.485% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -11.92%E -9.24%K -41.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +9.43%E +2.73%K +3.85%G +0.363% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -12.60%E -9.84%K -45.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 02:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +8.47%E +2.48%K +3.50%G +0.297% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +7.84%E +2.31%K +3.27%G +0.256% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -9.87%E -7.48%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 09:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +7.84%E +2.31%K +3.27%G +0.256% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV +6.25%E +1.87%K +2.66%G +0.166% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 08:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +6.25%E +1.87%K +2.66%G +0.166% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 06:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 05:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 05:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +1.81%E +0.565%K +0.821%G +0.015% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.50%E +0.468%K +0.680%G +0.010% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 09:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 09:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.02%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.02%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.97%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.97%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.60%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.60%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 09:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -11.19%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.19%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -0.308%E -0.211%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -17.53%E -6.74%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -17.53%E -6.74%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -19.12%E -7.50%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 09:15 |