L’École des cotes

Botic van de Zandschulp v Francisco Cerundolo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 09:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Prévision 31.72%3.15cote équitable
EV +17.04%
Avantage +4.62%
Kelly +6.33%
Croissance +1.08%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.05%31.40%31.51%35.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.992.903.6939.22%33.42%34.48%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.28%1.46cote équitable
EV -0.308%
Avantage -0.211%
Kelly -0.669%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.52%68.60%68.49%73.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.381.381.4678.13%72.60%72.46%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV +17.04%E +4.62%K +6.33%G +1.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 08:25
LowVig.ag3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV +17.04%E +4.62%K +6.33%G +1.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 08:24
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +11.96%E +3.39%K +4.73%G +0.566%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 08:55
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +11.01%E +3.15%K +4.40%G +0.485%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 09:04
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +11.01%E +3.15%K +4.40%G +0.485%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -11.92%E -9.24%K -41.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 09:00
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +9.43%E +2.73%K +3.85%G +0.363%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -12.60%E -9.84%K -45.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 02:54
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +8.47%E +2.48%K +3.50%G +0.297%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 09:10
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +7.84%E +2.31%K +3.27%G +0.256%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -9.87%E -7.48%K -30.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 09:00
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +7.84%E +2.31%K +3.27%G +0.256%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 09:00
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV +6.25%E +1.87%K +2.66%G +0.166%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 08:45
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +6.25%E +1.87%K +2.66%G +0.166%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 06:09
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 08:05
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 05:34
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 05:34
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
DraftKings3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +1.81%E +0.565%K +0.821%G +0.015%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 09:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.50%E +0.468%K +0.680%G +0.010%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 09:14
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 09:15
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 09:15
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 09:13
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 09:15
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.02%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 09:15
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.02%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.97%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 09:15
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.97%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 09:15
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.60%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.60%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 09:14
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -11.19%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 09:15
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.19%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 09:15
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -0.308%E -0.211%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 09:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 09:15
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 09:15
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 09:15
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 09:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -17.53%E -6.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -17.53%E -6.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 09:15
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -19.12%E -7.50%K -12.34%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-16 09:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-16 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Novig3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%6.6%2026-04-16 09:15
ProphetX2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%7.1%2026-04-16 09:15