La escuela de los momios

Botic van de Zandschulp v Francisco Cerundolo

Inicio: 2026-04-16 09:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Predicción 31.72%3.15momio equitativo
EV +17.04%
Ventaja +4.62%
Kelly +6.33%
Crecimiento +1.08%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%31.40%31.51%35.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.992.903.6939.22%33.42%34.48%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Predicción 68.28%1.46momio equitativo
EV -0.308%
Ventaja -0.211%
Kelly -0.669%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.52%68.60%68.49%73.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.381.381.4678.13%72.60%72.46%68.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV +17.04%E +4.62%K +6.33%G +1.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 08:25
LowVig.ag3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV +17.04%E +4.62%K +6.33%G +1.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 08:24
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +11.96%E +3.39%K +4.73%G +0.566%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 08:55
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +11.01%E +3.15%K +4.40%G +0.485%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 09:04
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +11.01%E +3.15%K +4.40%G +0.485%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -11.92%E -9.24%K -41.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 09:00
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +9.43%E +2.73%K +3.85%G +0.363%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -12.60%E -9.84%K -45.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 02:54
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV +8.47%E +2.48%K +3.50%G +0.297%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 09:10
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +7.84%E +2.31%K +3.27%G +0.256%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -9.87%E -7.48%K -30.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 09:00
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +7.84%E +2.31%K +3.27%G +0.256%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 09:00
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV +6.25%E +1.87%K +2.66%G +0.166%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -10.55%E -8.05%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 08:45
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV +6.25%E +1.87%K +2.66%G +0.166%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 06:09
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 08:05
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 05:34
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +4.67%E +1.41%K +2.03%G +0.095%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -11.23%E -8.64%K -37.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 05:34
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.08%E +0.949%K +1.37%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
DraftKings3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +1.81%E +0.565%K +0.821%G +0.015%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 09:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.50%E +0.468%K +0.680%G +0.010%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 09:14
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 09:15
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 09:15
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 09:13
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.85%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.18%E -6.91%K -27.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 09:15
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.02%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 09:15
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.02%E -2.76%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.97%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 09:15
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.97%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 09:15
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.60%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.60%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 09:14
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -11.19%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 09:15
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.19%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 09:15
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.78%E -4.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -0.308%E -0.211%K -0.669%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.991%E -0.683%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Fanatics2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.36%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 09:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 09:15
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 09:15
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.95%E -6.02%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.40%E -3.15%K -11.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 09:15
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -1.67%E -1.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 09:15
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -16.58%E -6.31%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 09:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -17.53%E -6.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -17.53%E -6.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 09:15
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -19.12%E -7.50%K -12.34%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-16 09:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-16 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-04-16 09:15
Novig3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%6.6%2026-04-16 09:15
ProphetX2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%7.1%2026-04-16 09:15