Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Miomir Kecmanovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 82.48%1.21fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -20.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.51%82.41%82.44%84.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.1790.09%86.91%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit)
Prediction 17.52%5.71fair odd
EV +6.89%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.093%
assuming max odds 6.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.98%17.59%17.56%19.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.255.206.1021.05%19.03%19.23%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 82.48%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit): 17.52%. For Miomir Kecmanovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.71. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.02%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +6.89%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.093% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +1.63%E +0.281%K +0.339%G +0.006% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.928%E +0.161%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.928%E +0.161%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.753%E +0.131%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -8.45%E -7.61%K -76.82%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -0.123%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -1.88%E -0.335%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.75%E -0.496%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 10:23 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.62%E -6.81%K -63.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.45%E -7.61%K -76.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -3.98%E -0.726%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:42 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.67%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.33%EV -9.41%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 10:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -14.14%E -2.89%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -14.14%E -2.89%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.77%E -3.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 10:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |