A Escola das Odds

Alexander Zverev v Miomir Kecmanovic

Início: 2026-04-14 10:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Previsão 82.48%1.21odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -2.99%
Kelly -20.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.51%82.41%82.44%84.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.151.151.1790.09%86.91%86.96%85.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)

Previsão 17.52%5.71odd justa
EV +6.89%
Vantagem +1.13%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.093%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.98%17.59%17.56%19.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.255.206.1021.05%19.03%19.23%16.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.02%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +6.89%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.093%2.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +1.63%E +0.281%K +0.339%G +0.006%3.4%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.928%E +0.161%K +0.195%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-14 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.928%E +0.161%K +0.195%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.753%E +0.131%K +0.158%G +0.001%5.9%2026-04-14 10:25
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -8.45%E -7.61%K -76.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -0.123%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -1.88%E -0.335%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:37
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.75%E -0.496%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:29
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:24
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 10:25
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:23
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.62%E -6.81%K -63.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.45%E -7.61%K -76.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:37
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -3.98%E -0.726%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 10:29
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:42
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:46
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:38
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:24
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 10:30
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:45
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:30
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.67%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.33%EV -9.41%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:46
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:24
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:25
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:46
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:25
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:25
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 10:25
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 10:30
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 10:25
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 10:24
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -14.14%E -2.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:25
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -14.14%E -2.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:25
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 10:25
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:25
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.77%E -3.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25%0.9%2026-04-14 10:46
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77%1.5%2026-04-14 10:38