مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alexander Zverev v Miomir Kecmanovic

البداية: 2026-04-14 10:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alexander Zverev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 82.48%1.21السعر العادل
EV -3.50%
الأفضلية -2.99%
Kelly -20.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.51%82.41%82.44%84.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.151.151.1790.09%86.91%86.96%85.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.52%5.71السعر العادل
EV +6.89%
الأفضلية +1.13%
Kelly +1.35%
النمو +0.093%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.98%17.59%17.56%19.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.755.255.206.1021.05%19.03%19.23%16.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.02%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.98%EV +6.89%E +1.13%K +1.35%G +0.093%2.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +1.63%E +0.281%K +0.339%G +0.006%3.4%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.928%E +0.161%K +0.195%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-14 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.928%E +0.161%K +0.195%G +0.002%4.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.753%E +0.131%K +0.158%G +0.001%5.9%2026-04-14 10:25
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -8.45%E -7.61%K -76.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -0.123%E -0.022%K -0.026%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -1.88%E -0.335%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 10:37
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.75%E -0.496%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:29
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:24
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 10:25
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.80%E -6.02%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:23
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.62%E -6.81%K -63.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 10:25
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.45%E -7.61%K -76.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -3.63%E -0.660%K -0.806%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:37
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -3.98%E -0.726%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 10:29
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.38%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:42
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 10:46
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -7.13%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:38
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:24
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:25
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.01%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 10:30
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:25
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:45
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:30
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.67%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.33%EV -9.41%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:46
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:24
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:25
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:46
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:25
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.50%E -2.99%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:25
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 10:25
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 10:30
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:25
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 10:25
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 10:25
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.39%E -2.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 10:24
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -14.14%E -2.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:25
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -4.33%E -3.73%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -14.14%E -2.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:25
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 10:25
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.98%E -5.24%K -42.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -15.89%E -3.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:25
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.15%E -4.48%K -34.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.77%E -3.53%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25%0.9%2026-04-14 10:46
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-04-14 10:30
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77%1.5%2026-04-14 10:38