Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Gabriel Diallo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 91.45%1.09fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.290%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.14%91.48%91.44%93.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.031.0999.01%96.22%97.09%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gabriel Diallo (Visit)
Prediction 8.55%11.70fair odd
EV +35.05%
Edge +2.22%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.830%
assuming max odds 15.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.18%8.52%8.56%12.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.2510.9011.0015.8013.79%9.18%9.09%6.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 91.45%; Gabriel Diallo (Visit): 8.55%. For Gabriel Diallo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.70. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +35.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000% | 15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV +35.05%E +2.22%K +2.37%G +0.830% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +23.94%E +1.65%K +1.77%G +0.424% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +19.66%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.297% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +11.12%E +0.855%K +0.926%G +0.103% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +11.12%E +0.855%K +0.926%G +0.103% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.57%E +0.214%K +0.233%G +0.006% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +2.57%E +0.214%K +0.233%G +0.006% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.25%E -0.976%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -10.25%E -0.976%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.97%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.03%EV -21.79%E -2.38%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 12:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.21%EV -0.317%E -0.290%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.79%EV -22.99%E -2.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 12:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 12:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 12:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -23.24%E -2.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -1.23%E -1.14%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -25.13%E -2.87%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -1.23%E -1.14%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -25.13%E -2.87%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 12:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 12:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 12:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -38.03%E -5.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -38.03%E -5.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.11% | 13.51I 7.40%NM 6.89% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |