La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Gabriel Diallo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 91.45%1.09momio equitativo
EV -0.317%
Ventaja -0.290%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
87.14%91.48%91.44%93.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.041.031.0999.01%96.22%97.09%91.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)
Predicción 8.55%11.70momio equitativo
EV +35.05%
Ventaja +2.22%
Kelly +2.37%
Crecimiento +0.830%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.18%8.52%8.56%12.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.2510.9011.0015.8013.79%9.18%9.09%6.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000% | 15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV +35.05%E +2.22%K +2.37%G +0.830% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betway | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| 888sport | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +23.94%E +1.65%K +1.77%G +0.424% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +19.66%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.297% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +11.12%E +0.855%K +0.926%G +0.103% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +11.12%E +0.855%K +0.926%G +0.103% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| betPARX | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.57%E +0.214%K +0.233%G +0.006% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +2.57%E +0.214%K +0.233%G +0.006% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Coral | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Bovada | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.25%E -0.976%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -10.25%E -0.976%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Casumo | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Unibet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betsson | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| TAB | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Fliff | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.97%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.03%EV -21.79%E -2.38%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 12:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.21%EV -0.317%E -0.290%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.79%EV -22.99%E -2.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 12:43 |
| TABtouch | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Caesars | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 12:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 12:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -23.24%E -2.59%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -1.23%E -1.14%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -25.13%E -2.87%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -1.23%E -1.14%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -25.13%E -2.87%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 12:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 12:38 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -38.03%E -5.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -38.03%E -5.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 12:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.11% | 13.51I 7.40%NM 6.89% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |