L’École des cotes

Alexander Zverev v Gabriel Diallo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 91.45%1.09cote équitable
EV -0.317%
Avantage -0.290%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.14%91.48%91.44%93.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.031.0999.01%96.22%97.09%91.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.55%11.70cote équitable
EV +35.05%
Avantage +2.22%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.830%

avec la cote maximale 15.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.18%8.52%8.56%12.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.2510.9011.0015.8013.79%9.18%9.09%6.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 93.82%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000%15.80I 6.33%NM 6.18%EV +35.05%E +2.22%K +2.37%G +0.830%2.5%2026-04-16 12:45
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568%3.8%2026-04-16 12:45
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568%4.7%2026-04-16 12:45
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568%5.7%2026-04-16 12:45
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568%5.7%2026-04-16 12:45
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +28.21%E +1.88%K +2.01%G +0.568%5.7%2026-04-16 12:45
Winamax (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV +23.94%E +1.65%K +1.77%G +0.424%4.9%2026-04-16 12:45
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +19.66%E +1.40%K +1.51%G +0.297%5.2%2026-04-16 12:45
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +11.12%E +0.855%K +0.926%G +0.103%3.8%2026-04-16 12:45
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +11.12%E +0.855%K +0.926%G +0.103%4.8%2026-04-16 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041%5.1%2026-04-16 12:45
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041%5.1%2026-04-16 12:45
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041%5.1%2026-04-16 12:45
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +6.84%E +0.547%K +0.595%G +0.041%5.1%2026-04-16 12:45
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.57%E +0.214%K +0.233%G +0.006%5.4%2026-04-16 12:45
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +2.57%E +0.214%K +0.233%G +0.006%6.4%2026-04-16 12:45
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.89%E -4.70%K -122.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 12:45
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 12:45
BetMGM1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -1.71%E -0.148%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 12:45
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 12:45
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 12:45
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 12:45
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:45
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:45
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:45
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:45
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.98%E -0.544%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:45
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -10.25%E -0.976%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -10.25%E -0.976%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 12:45
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 12:45
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 12:45
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 12:45
Bet Victor1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 12:45
TAB1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 12:45
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.53%E -1.45%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 12:45
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 89.97%EV -6.72%E -6.59%K -335.91%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.03%EV -21.79%E -2.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 12:44
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.21%EV -0.317%E -0.290%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.01I 11.10%NM 10.79%EV -22.99%E -2.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 12:30
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 12:43
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 12:45
Caesars1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 12:44
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.80%E -5.63%K -193.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -23.07%E -2.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 12:44
1xBet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -23.24%E -2.59%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:30
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -1.23%E -1.14%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -25.13%E -2.87%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 12:29
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -1.23%E -1.14%K -15.39%G +0.000%8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -25.13%E -2.87%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 12:29
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 12:35
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.97%E -3.79%K -79.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 12:39
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -7.63%E -7.56%K -763.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -27.35%E -3.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-16 12:45
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:30
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:38
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -31.62%E -3.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -38.03%E -5.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 12:30
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -2.15%E -2.01%K -30.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -38.03%E -5.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 12:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-04-16 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-16 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-16 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-04-16 12:45
Smarkets1.04I 96.15%NM 93.71%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.29%2.6%2026-04-16 12:45
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%3.8%2026-04-16 12:45
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 93.11%13.51I 7.40%NM 6.89%7.4%2026-04-16 12:45