Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.39
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 69.68%; Terence Atmane (Visit): 30.32%. For Terence Atmane (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.10%E +0.911%K +1.29%G +0.040% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.065%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 14:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -2.36%E -0.733%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 14:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.42%E -7.25%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.09%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 14:02 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.03%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 14:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 14:10 |