A Escola das Odds

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Terence Atmane

Início: 2026-04-08 14:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Previsão 69.68%1.44odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -8.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.49%69.90%69.58%71.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.361.361.3976.92%73.45%73.53%71.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Terence Atmane (Visitante)

Previsão 30.32%3.30odd justa
EV +3.10%
Vantagem +0.911%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.12%30.10%30.42%31.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.093.103.4033.33%32.34%32.26%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.10%E +0.911%K +1.29%G +0.040%4.6%2026-04-08 14:05
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.065%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 14:09
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 14:04
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -2.36%E -0.733%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 14:05
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 14:03
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.42%E -7.25%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 14:05
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 14:05
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:04
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:04
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:05
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 14:05
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.09%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 14:05
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 14:05
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:09
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:05
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:05
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 14:10
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:04
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:04
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 14:10
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:05
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:04
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:05
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:05
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 14:02
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.03%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 14:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-04-08 14:10
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-04-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-08 14:10
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-08 14:10
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%3.6%2026-04-08 14:10