La escuela de los momios

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Terence Atmane

Inicio: 2026-04-08 14:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Predicción 69.68%1.44momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -8.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%69.90%69.58%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.3976.92%73.45%73.53%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Terence Atmane (Visitante)

Predicción 30.32%3.30momio equitativo
EV +3.10%
Ventaja +0.911%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%30.10%30.42%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.093.103.4033.33%32.34%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +3.10%E +0.911%K +1.29%G +0.040%4.6%2026-04-08 14:05
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.065%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 14:09
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 14:04
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.45%E -0.447%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 14:04
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.85%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.15%EV -2.36%E -0.733%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 14:05
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 14:03
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.42%E -7.25%K -31.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.97%E -0.927%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-08 14:05
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 14:05
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:04
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:04
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.48%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:05
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -4.79%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 14:05
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.09%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 14:05
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 14:05
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.54%E -3.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:05
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:09
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:05
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:05
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:04
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 14:10
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:10
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:04
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.52%E -2.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:04
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -3.15%E -2.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 14:10
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.85%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 14:05
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:04
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:05
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:05
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.94%E -4.40%K -16.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 14:05
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 14:02
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.03%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.03%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 14:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-04-08 14:10
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-04-08 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-08 14:10
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-08 14:10
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%3.6%2026-04-08 14:10