Language:English
Terence Atmane v Frances Tiafoe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Terence Atmane (Local)
Prediction 39.37%2.54fair odd
EV +0.387%
Edge +0.152%
Kelly +0.250%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%39.52%39.29%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.412.442.5550.00%41.52%41.07%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visit)
Prediction 60.63%1.65fair odd
EV +6.71%
Edge +3.81%
Kelly +8.83%
Growth +0.593%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%60.48%60.71%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.561.541.7668.97%64.25%64.94%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 39.37%; Frances Tiafoe (Visit): 60.63%. For Frances Tiafoe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -17.33%E -8.25%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV +6.71%E +3.81%K +8.83%G +0.593% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -21.27%E -10.63%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +4.89%E +2.83%K +6.70%G +0.328% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 15:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -18.51%E -8.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV +3.68%E +2.15%K +5.19%G +0.191% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.91%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.91%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 16:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 15:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 15:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.42%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 09:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -9.85%E -4.30%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.02%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 09:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 09:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 10:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 09:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 09:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 09:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 09:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 09:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 09:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.42%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 15:48 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -10.87%E -7.39%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV +0.387%E +0.152%K +0.250%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -12.08%E -8.33%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 13:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 58.97% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 41.03% | 51.4% | 2026-04-05 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 58.80% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 41.20% | 54.6% | 2026-04-05 15:45 |