L’École des cotes

Terence Atmane v Frances Tiafoe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prévision 39.37%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.387%
Avantage +0.152%
Kelly +0.250%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.25%39.52%39.29%46.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.412.442.5550.00%41.52%41.07%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.63%1.65cote équitable
EV +6.71%
Avantage +3.81%
Kelly +8.83%
Croissance +0.593%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.62%60.48%60.71%63.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.561.541.7668.97%64.25%64.94%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -17.33%E -8.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV +6.71%E +3.81%K +8.83%G +0.593%4.4%2026-04-05 15:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -21.27%E -10.63%K -21.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +4.89%E +2.83%K +6.70%G +0.328%7.8%2026-04-05 15:49
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -18.51%E -8.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV +3.68%E +2.15%K +5.19%G +0.191%6.8%2026-04-05 15:49
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 13:55
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 13:55
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 15:40
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 13:30
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 14:44
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:55
NordicBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.91%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:39
Betsson2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.91%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:39
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 16:01
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:38
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.42%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 16:15
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 09:45
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:30
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 15:40
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -9.85%E -4.30%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:10
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.02%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 09:50
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 16:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:39
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 10:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:34
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 09:35
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 09:35
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:55
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 13:30
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 13:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 09:35
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.42%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 15:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:48
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -10.87%E -7.39%K -23.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV +0.387%E +0.152%K +0.250%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -12.08%E -8.33%K -26.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-04-05 13:20
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%7.8%2026-04-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%10.7%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%10.7%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%10.7%2026-04-05 16:25
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 58.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 41.03%51.4%2026-04-05 16:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 58.80%1.57I 63.69%NM 41.20%54.6%2026-04-05 15:45