La escuela de los momios

Terence Atmane v Frances Tiafoe

Inicio: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Predicción 39.37%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.387%
Ventaja +0.152%
Kelly +0.250%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.25%39.52%39.29%46.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.412.442.5550.00%41.52%41.07%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Predicción 60.63%1.65momio equitativo
EV +6.71%
Ventaja +3.81%
Kelly +8.83%
Crecimiento +0.593%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%60.48%60.71%63.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.561.541.7668.97%64.25%64.94%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -17.33%E -8.25%K -15.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV +6.71%E +3.81%K +8.83%G +0.593%4.4%2026-04-05 15:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -21.27%E -10.63%K -21.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +4.89%E +2.83%K +6.70%G +0.328%7.8%2026-04-05 15:49
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -18.51%E -8.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV +3.68%E +2.15%K +5.19%G +0.191%6.8%2026-04-05 15:49
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 13:55
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 13:55
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 15:40
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 13:30
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 14:44
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:55
NordicBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.91%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:39
Betsson2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.91%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 14:39
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.12%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 16:01
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:38
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 15:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.42%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 16:15
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 09:45
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:30
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 15:40
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -9.85%E -4.30%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:10
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.02%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 09:50
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 10:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.37%E -0.955%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 10:00
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.63%E -4.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 16:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:39
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 10:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.58%E -0.633%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:34
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 09:35
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 09:35
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 13:55
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 13:30
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 13:30
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 09:35
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.42%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 15:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.44%E -5.59%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:48
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -10.87%E -7.39%K -23.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 15:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV +0.387%E +0.152%K +0.250%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -12.08%E -8.33%K -26.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 13:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-04-05 13:20
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%7.8%2026-04-05 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%10.7%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%10.7%2026-04-05 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%10.7%2026-04-05 16:25
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 58.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 41.03%51.4%2026-04-05 16:10
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 58.80%1.57I 63.69%NM 41.20%54.6%2026-04-05 15:45