The School of Odds

Joao Fonseca v Alexander Zverev

Matchstart: 2026-04-10 09:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Hemma)

Prognos 45.48%2.20rättvist odds
EV +12.80%
Fördel +5.16%
Kelly +8.65%
Tillväxt +1.11%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.77%44.86%45.47%48.52%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.912.172.152.4852.36%46.04%46.62%40.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alexander Zverev (Borta)

Prognos 54.52%1.83rättvist odds
EV -1.87%
Fördel -1.04%
Kelly -2.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.48%55.14%54.53%61.23%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.531.661.671.8065.36%60.08%59.88%55.56%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -12.23%E -7.59%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 09:15
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 09:00
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV +10.98%E +4.50%K +7.62%G +0.837%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 09:00
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +9.16%E +3.82%K +6.54%G +0.599%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -14.95%E -9.59%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 09:11
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +7.79%E +3.29%K +5.69%G +0.443%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -16.59%E -10.84%K -31.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 09:05
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 09:00
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 09:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 09:13
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -15.50%E -10.00%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 09:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 09:10
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.23%E -7.59%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 09:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 09:11
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 09:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.59%E -6.46%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 09:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.87%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 09:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 09:19
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:20
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:20
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:19
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -1.30%E -0.600%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 09:20
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 09:19
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -9.50%E -5.72%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 09:20
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -9.50%E -5.72%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 09:20
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -10.59%E -6.46%K -16.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 09:20
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 09:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 09:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 09:20
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 09:19
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.94%E -2.36%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 09:20
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -6.31%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.28%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 09:20
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 09:20
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 09:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 09:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 09:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 09:15
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.13%E -4.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 09:19
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 09:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 09:19
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.76%E -6.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 09:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.13%E -6.87%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 09:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-04-10 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-10 09:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-04-10 09:20
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-04-10 09:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%3.7%2026-04-10 09:20
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%7.0%2026-04-10 09:20