La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 45.48%2.20momio equitativo
EV +12.80%
Ventaja +5.16%
Kelly +8.65%
Crecimiento +1.11%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.77%44.86%45.47%48.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.172.152.4852.36%46.04%46.62%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 54.52%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.48%55.14%54.53%61.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.661.671.8065.36%60.08%59.88%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -12.23%E -7.59%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-10 09:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV +10.98%E +4.50%K +7.62%G +0.837% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +9.16%E +3.82%K +6.54%G +0.599% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -14.95%E -9.59%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 09:11 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +7.79%E +3.29%K +5.69%G +0.443% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -16.59%E -10.84%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:05 |
| GTbets | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-10 09:13 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -15.50%E -10.00%K -28.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 09:14 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 09:10 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.23%E -7.59%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 09:11 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.59%E -6.46%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.87%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -1.30%E -0.600%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -9.50%E -5.72%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -9.50%E -5.72%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -10.59%E -6.46%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.94%E -2.36%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -6.31%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.28%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.13%E -4.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.76%E -6.06%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.13%E -6.87%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 09:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 0.1% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |
| Novig | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07% | 7.0% | 2026-04-10 09:20 |