مدرسة الاحتمالات

Joao Fonseca v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-04-10 09:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Joao Fonseca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.48%2.20السعر العادل
EV +12.80%
الأفضلية +5.16%
Kelly +8.65%
النمو +1.11%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.77%44.86%45.47%48.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.172.152.4852.36%46.04%46.62%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.52%1.83السعر العادل
EV -1.87%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -2.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.48%55.14%54.53%61.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.661.671.8065.36%60.08%59.88%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -12.23%E -7.59%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 09:15
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +12.80%E +5.16%K +8.65%G +1.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 09:00
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV +10.98%E +4.50%K +7.62%G +0.837%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -14.41%E -9.18%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 09:00
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV +9.16%E +3.82%K +6.54%G +0.599%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -14.95%E -9.59%K -26.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 09:11
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +7.79%E +3.29%K +5.69%G +0.443%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -16.59%E -10.84%K -31.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 09:05
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 09:00
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 09:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 09:13
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +6.88%E +2.93%K +5.10%G +0.351%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -15.50%E -10.00%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 09:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 09:10
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -12.23%E -7.59%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 09:00
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 09:11
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +4.61%E +2.00%K +3.55%G +0.163%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 09:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -10.59%E -6.46%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 09:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +2.34%E +1.04%K +1.87%G +0.044%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -13.86%E -8.77%K -23.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.87%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 09:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 09:19
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.062%E +0.028%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:20
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:20
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:19
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -0.848%E -0.389%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -1.30%E -0.600%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 09:20
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 09:19
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -9.50%E -5.72%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 09:20
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -9.50%E -5.72%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 09:20
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 09:20
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -10.59%E -6.46%K -16.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 09:20
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 09:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 09:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 09:20
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.68%E -7.21%K -18.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 09:19
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.94%E -2.36%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 09:20
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -6.31%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.28%EV -12.77%E -7.98%K -21.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 09:20
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 09:20
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.50%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 09:19
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 09:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 09:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 09:15
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.13%E -4.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.41%E -5.01%K -12.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 09:19
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.59%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 09:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 09:19
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.03%E -4.52%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 09:19
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.76%E -6.06%K -12.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 09:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.13%E -6.87%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 09:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-04-10 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-10 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-04-10 09:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-04-10 09:20
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.6%2026-04-10 09:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%3.7%2026-04-10 09:20
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%7.0%2026-04-10 09:20