Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Bublik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 55.19%1.81fair odd
EV -0.659%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.824%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.51%55.23%55.70%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.8062.50%59.08%59.35%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Bublik (Visit)
Prediction 44.81%2.23fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%44.77%44.30%47.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.3051.28%47.32%47.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 55.19%; Alexander Bublik (Visit): 44.81%. For Alexander Bublik (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +3.06%E +1.33%K +2.36%G +0.072% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +2.17%E +0.951%K +1.69%G +0.037% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +1.72%E +0.758%K +1.35%G +0.023% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.70%E -7.31%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -6.73%E -3.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +0.376%E +0.168%K +0.303%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 12:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.072%E -0.032%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.520%E -0.234%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 12:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.39%E -5.05%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 12:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.73%E -3.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 12:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 12:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.15%E -6.92%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.15%E -6.92%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.00%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 12:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 12:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 12:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.39%E -5.05%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.79%E -3.27%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.24%E -3.50%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.69%E -3.73%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.14%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.76%E -0.990%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.14%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.76%E -0.990%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.59%E -4.21%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.48%E -4.69%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -9.48%E -4.69%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -10.83%E -5.44%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.04%E -6.16%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.17%E -6.21%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.42%E -1.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.62%E -6.47%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 06:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |