L’École des cotes

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Bublik

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-09 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 55.19%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.659%
Avantage -0.366%
Kelly -0.824%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.51%55.23%55.70%58.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.691.8062.50%59.08%59.35%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Bublik (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.81%2.23cote équitable
EV +3.06%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +2.36%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.56%44.77%44.30%47.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.112.102.3051.28%47.32%47.62%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +3.06%E +1.33%K +2.36%G +0.072%3.4%2026-04-09 12:55
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +2.17%E +0.951%K +1.69%G +0.037%4.5%2026-04-09 12:55
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +1.72%E +0.758%K +1.35%G +0.023%2.5%2026-04-09 12:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005%5.1%2026-04-09 12:50
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-09 12:55
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.70%E -7.31%K -19.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005%6.9%2026-04-09 12:55
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -6.73%E -3.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +0.376%E +0.168%K +0.303%G +0.001%3.8%2026-04-09 12:48
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.072%E -0.032%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 12:55
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.520%E -0.234%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 12:53
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.39%E -5.05%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 12:53
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 12:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 12:55
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 12:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 12:55
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:55
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:55
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:55
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:55
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:55
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:55
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 12:55
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.73%E -3.98%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 12:55
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 12:54
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 12:54
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.15%E -6.92%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.15%E -6.92%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 12:55
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.00%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 12:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 11:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 12:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 12:39
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 12:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 12:55
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 12:55
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 12:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 12:54
Winamax (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 12:53
Winamax (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 12:53
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 12:35
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 12:55
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.39%E -5.05%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.79%E -3.27%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.24%E -3.50%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 12:55
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.69%E -3.73%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 12:25
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.14%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 12:50
ReBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.76%E -0.990%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.14%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 11:25
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.76%E -0.990%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.59%E -4.21%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.48%E -4.69%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 12:40
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -9.48%E -4.69%K -9.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-09 12:55
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 12:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 12:40
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 17:55
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 20:39
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 12:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 12:55
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 12:40
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -10.83%E -5.44%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 12:30
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.04%E -6.16%K -15.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.17%E -6.21%K -12.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-09 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.42%E -1.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.62%E -6.47%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 06:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-09 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-09 12:55
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-09 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-04-09 12:55
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-09 12:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-04-09 12:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%2.4%2026-04-09 12:55