La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Bublik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 55.19%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.659%
Ventaja -0.366%
Kelly -0.824%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.51%55.23%55.70%58.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.691.8062.50%59.08%59.35%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Bublik (Visitante)
Predicción 44.81%2.23momio equitativo
EV +3.06%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +2.36%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%44.77%44.30%47.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.112.102.3051.28%47.32%47.62%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +3.06%E +1.33%K +2.36%G +0.072% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +2.17%E +0.951%K +1.69%G +0.037% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV +1.72%E +0.758%K +1.35%G +0.023% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.70%E -7.31%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.824%E +0.366%K +0.659%G +0.005% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -6.73%E -3.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +0.376%E +0.168%K +0.303%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-04-09 12:48 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -0.072%E -0.032%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -0.520%E -0.234%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 12:53 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -8.39%E -5.05%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 12:53 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.73%E -3.98%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 12:54 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.49%E -5.79%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 12:54 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.15%E -6.92%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.15%E -6.92%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.66%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.00%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.18%E -3.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.28%E -4.33%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 12:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 12:53 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 12:35 |
| Fliff | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.90%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -8.39%E -5.05%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -6.79%E -3.27%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.24%E -3.50%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| GTbets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.69%E -3.73%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 12:25 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.14%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| ReBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.76%E -0.990%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.14%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 11:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.76%E -0.990%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.59%E -4.21%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.48%E -4.69%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -10.59%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -9.48%E -4.69%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 20:39 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.38%E -5.19%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -0.659%E -0.366%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -10.83%E -5.44%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.60%EV -10.04%E -6.16%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40%EV -12.17%E -6.21%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-09 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.42%E -1.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.62%E -6.47%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 06:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90% | 2.4% | 2026-04-09 12:55 |