Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Alejandro Tabilo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 54.30%1.84fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.73%54.34%54.29%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.731.8260.98%57.92%57.97%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)
Prediction 45.70%2.19fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.812%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.66%45.71%48.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.072.092.1551.55%48.42%47.85%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 54.30%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 45.70%. For Jiri Lehecka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.17%E -0.645%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.17%E -0.645%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.72%E -0.948%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -1.72%E -0.948%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -11.34%E -5.85%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.26%E -1.26%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -9.06%E -4.55%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 09:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 09:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.75%E -0.812%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 09:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.52%E -4.81%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.75%E -0.812%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -10.95%E -6.68%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26% | 10.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 38.36% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 61.64% | 44.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |