L’École des cotes

Jiri Lehecka v Alejandro Tabilo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 09:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 54.30%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.73%54.34%54.29%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.731.731.8260.98%57.92%57.97%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.70%2.19cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.812%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%45.66%45.71%48.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.072.092.1551.55%48.42%47.85%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.17%E -0.645%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.17%E -0.645%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.72%E -0.948%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 09:10
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -1.72%E -0.948%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -11.34%E -5.85%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 09:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.26%E -1.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 09:10
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 09:00
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 09:09
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 08:59
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -9.06%E -4.55%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 09:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 09:10
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 08:58
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 09:06
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 09:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 09:09
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 08:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 09:00
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 09:10
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 09:10
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 09:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 08:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 09:06
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 09:09
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.75%E -0.812%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 09:10
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:10
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:09
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 09:09
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-08 09:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 09:00
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-08 08:59
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 09:10
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-08 09:08
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.52%E -4.81%K -9.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 09:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.75%E -0.812%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 09:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 09:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-08 09:10
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -10.95%E -6.68%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-04-08 09:10
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-04-08 09:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%3.6%2026-04-08 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-04-08 09:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%10.7%2026-04-08 09:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 38.36%1.12I 89.29%NM 61.64%44.8%2026-04-08 09:10