La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 54.30%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.73%54.34%54.29%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.731.731.8260.98%57.92%57.97%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 45.70%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%45.66%45.71%48.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.072.092.1551.55%48.42%47.85%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.17%E -0.645%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.17%E -0.645%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.72%E -0.948%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -1.72%E -0.948%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -11.34%E -5.85%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.26%E -1.26%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.80%E -1.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -9.06%E -4.55%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ReBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 08:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 09:06 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.20%E -1.03%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 09:06 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.75%E -0.812%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 09:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 09:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 09:00 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 08:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.40%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-08 09:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.78%E -5.22%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.52%E -4.81%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.75%E -0.812%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.03%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.60%E -4.30%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -10.95%E -6.68%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%EV -7.69%E -3.81%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26% | 10.7% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 38.36% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 61.64% | 44.8% | 2026-04-08 09:10 |