A Escola das Odds

Francisco Cerundolo v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Início: 2026-04-06 13:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Previsão 64.79%1.54odd justa
EV +17.92%
Vantagem +9.85%
Kelly +21.85%
Crescimento +3.92%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.60%63.24%65.16%67.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.541.501.8273.53%64.83%66.67%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)

Previsão 35.21%2.84odd justa
EV +2.11%
Vantagem +0.727%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.08%36.76%34.84%47.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.462.502.9050.00%40.73%40.00%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +17.92%E +9.85%K +21.85%G +3.92%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -28.88%E -14.30%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:15
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -25.36%E -11.96%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -27.47%E -13.33%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 13:10
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -27.47%E -13.33%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 13:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:00
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -26.41%E -12.64%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:01
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -27.82%E -13.57%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +12.73%E +7.32%K +17.21%G +2.19%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -27.82%E -13.57%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -25.71%E -12.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:23
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -29.58%E -14.79%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -29.58%E -14.79%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -25.36%E -11.96%K -22.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:23
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:15
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -28.88%E -14.30%K -28.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:05
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +10.79%E +6.31%K +15.20%G +1.64%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -24.30%E -11.30%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +9.50%E +5.62%K +13.76%G +1.31%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -22.54%E -10.24%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 13:28
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.871%E -0.569%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.871%E -0.569%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -1.52%E -0.999%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -19.02%E -8.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:28
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -12.68%E -5.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:30
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:30
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:30
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -14.44%E -5.94%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:30
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -15.50%E -6.46%K -11.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:30
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:30
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:30
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:30
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.53%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:30
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:30
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:29
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -17.26%E -7.34%K -12.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.69%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.65%E -6.13%K -21.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +0.348%E +0.122%K +0.188%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:29
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:29
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:30
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.59%E -7.67%K -27.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +2.11%E +0.727%K +1.11%G +0.023%6.9%2026-04-06 13:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +1.40%E +0.488%K +0.747%G +0.010%8.3%2026-04-06 13:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-04-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-06 13:30
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-06 13:30
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-04-06 13:30
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%3.7%2026-04-06 13:30
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%4.7%2026-04-06 13:30