La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Francisco Cerundolo v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)
Previsione 64.79%1.54quota equa
EV +17.92%
Vantaggio +9.85%
Kelly +21.85%
Crescita +3.92%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.60%63.24%65.16%67.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.541.501.8273.53%64.83%66.67%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.21%2.84quota equa
EV +2.11%
Vantaggio +0.727%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescita +0.023%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.08%36.76%34.84%47.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.462.502.9050.00%40.73%40.00%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +17.92%E +9.85%K +21.85%G +3.92% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -28.88%E -14.30%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -25.36%E -11.96%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -27.47%E -13.33%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -27.47%E -13.33%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| ReBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -26.41%E -12.64%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 13:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -27.82%E -13.57%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +12.73%E +7.32%K +17.21%G +2.19% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -27.82%E -13.57%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -25.71%E -12.18%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 13:23 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -29.58%E -14.79%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -29.58%E -14.79%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -25.36%E -11.96%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:23 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -28.88%E -14.30%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +10.79%E +6.31%K +15.20%G +1.64% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -24.30%E -11.30%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +9.50%E +5.62%K +13.76%G +1.31% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -22.54%E -10.24%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:28 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.871%E -0.569%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.871%E -0.569%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -1.52%E -0.999%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -19.02%E -8.27%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:28 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -12.68%E -5.11%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -14.44%E -5.94%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -15.50%E -6.46%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.53%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:29 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -17.26%E -7.34%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.69%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.65%E -6.13%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +0.348%E +0.122%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.59%E -7.67%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +2.11%E +0.727%K +1.11%G +0.023% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +1.40%E +0.488%K +0.747%G +0.010% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Novig | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |