مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francisco Cerundolo v Stefanos Tsitsipas

البداية: 2026-04-06 13:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.79%1.54السعر العادل
EV +17.92%
الأفضلية +9.85%
Kelly +21.85%
النمو +3.92%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.60%63.24%65.16%67.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.541.501.8273.53%64.83%66.67%54.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.21%2.84السعر العادل
EV +2.11%
الأفضلية +0.727%
Kelly +1.11%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.08%36.76%34.84%47.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.462.502.9050.00%40.73%40.00%34.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +17.92%E +9.85%K +21.85%G +3.92%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -28.88%E -14.30%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:15
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -25.36%E -11.96%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -27.47%E -13.33%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 13:10
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV +15.97%E +8.92%K +20.22%G +3.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -27.47%E -13.33%K -25.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 13:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:00
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -26.41%E -12.64%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:01
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +13.38%E +7.65%K +17.84%G +2.39%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -27.82%E -13.57%K -26.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +12.73%E +7.32%K +17.21%G +2.19%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -27.82%E -13.57%K -26.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -25.71%E -12.18%K -23.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:23
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -29.58%E -14.79%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +12.09%E +6.99%K +16.56%G +2.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -29.58%E -14.79%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:00
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -25.36%E -11.96%K -22.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:23
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -26.06%E -12.41%K -23.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:15
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV +11.44%E +6.65%K +15.89%G +1.82%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -28.88%E -14.30%K -28.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:05
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +10.79%E +6.31%K +15.20%G +1.64%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -24.30%E -11.30%K -21.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +9.50%E +5.62%K +13.76%G +1.31%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -22.54%E -10.24%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 13:28
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.871%E -0.569%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.871%E -0.569%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -1.52%E -0.999%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -19.02%E -8.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:28
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.17%E -1.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:30
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.98%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -12.68%E -5.11%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:30
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -2.81%E -1.88%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.74%E -5.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:30
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:30
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.15%EV -4.11%E -2.78%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -14.44%E -5.94%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:30
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -4.76%E -3.24%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -15.50%E -6.46%K -11.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:30
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:30
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:30
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.05%E -4.18%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:30
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -3.53%E -1.29%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:30
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.70%E -4.65%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:30
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:29
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:30
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -7.35%E -5.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -17.26%E -7.34%K -12.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.00%E -5.63%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.69%E -2.53%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.65%E -6.13%K -21.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +0.348%E +0.122%K +0.188%G +0.001%6.5%2026-04-06 13:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:29
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:29
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.41%E -0.505%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.29%E -6.64%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:30
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.59%E -7.67%K -27.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +2.11%E +0.727%K +1.11%G +0.023%6.9%2026-04-06 13:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -11.89%E -8.74%K -33.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV +1.40%E +0.488%K +0.747%G +0.010%8.3%2026-04-06 13:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-04-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-04-06 13:30
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-04-06 13:30
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-04-06 13:30
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%3.7%2026-04-06 13:30
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%4.7%2026-04-06 13:30