A Escola das Odds

Flavio Cobolli v Francisco Comesana

Início: 2026-04-06 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Previsão 60.64%1.65odd justa
EV +1.26%
Vantagem +0.755%
Kelly +1.88%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%60.38%60.66%62.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.74%63.69%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Comesana (Visitante)

Previsão 39.36%2.54odd justa
EV +0.379%
Vantagem +0.149%
Kelly +0.245%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%39.62%39.34%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.382.382.5545.45%42.05%42.02%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.26%E +0.755%K +1.88%G +0.024%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.16%E -0.714%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.77%E -1.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 16:05
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 15:58
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.59%E -0.636%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 16:09
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 16:07
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:10
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.92%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.59%E -0.636%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:05
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 16:05
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 16:06
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:07
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 16:08
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:05
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:10
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:05
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:06
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -0.802%E -0.318%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:05
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 16:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 16:05
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.83%E -5.15%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:04
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.379%E +0.149%K +0.245%G +0.001%5.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-06 16:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-04-06 16:07