Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Flavio Cobolli v Francisco Comesana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prévision 60.64%1.65cote équitable
EV +1.26%
Avantage +0.755%
Kelly +1.88%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%60.38%60.66%62.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.74%63.69%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Francisco Comesana (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.36%2.54cote équitable
EV +0.379%
Avantage +0.149%
Kelly +0.245%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%39.62%39.34%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.382.5545.45%42.05%42.02%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Flavio Cobolli (Local) : 60.64% ; Francisco Comesana (Visiteur) : 39.36%. Pour Flavio Cobolli (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.65. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.67, soit une espérance positive de +1.26%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.26%E +0.755%K +1.88%G +0.024%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.16%E -0.714%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.77%E -1.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 16:05
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 15:58
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.59%E -0.636%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 16:07
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:10
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.92%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.59%E -0.636%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 16:05
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 16:06
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:07
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 16:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:06
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -0.802%E -0.318%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:09
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 16:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.83%E -5.15%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:04
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.379%E +0.149%K +0.245%G +0.001%5.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-06 16:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-04-06 16:07