La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Francisco Comesana
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 60.64%1.65momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.755%
Kelly +1.88%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%60.38%60.66%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.74%63.69%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Francisco Comesana (Visitante)
Predicción 39.36%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.379%
Ventaja +0.149%
Kelly +0.245%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%39.62%39.34%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.382.5545.45%42.05%42.02%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.26%E +0.755%K +1.88%G +0.024% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.16%E -0.714%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.77%E -1.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 15:58 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.59%E -0.636%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 16:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.92%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.59%E -0.636%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 16:06 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:07 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 16:08 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 16:06 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -0.802%E -0.318%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 16:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 16:09 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.83%E -5.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 16:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.379%E +0.149%K +0.245%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 16:10 |
| Novig | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-06 16:07 |