مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flavio Cobolli v Francisco Comesana

البداية: 2026-04-06 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.64%1.65السعر العادل
EV +1.26%
الأفضلية +0.755%
Kelly +1.88%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%60.38%60.66%62.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.571.571.6766.67%63.74%63.69%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Francisco Comesana (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.36%2.54السعر العادل
EV +0.379%
الأفضلية +0.149%
Kelly +0.245%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.04%39.62%39.34%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.382.382.5545.45%42.05%42.02%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.26%E +0.755%K +1.88%G +0.024%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.16%E -0.714%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.77%E -1.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 16:05
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.38%E -1.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 15:58
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 16:10
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.59%E -0.636%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 16:09
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 16:07
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:10
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -5.92%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.59%E -2.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.59%E -0.636%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:05
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 16:05
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 16:06
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 16:10
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:07
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 16:08
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 16:05
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.34%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.41%E -3.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -8.28%E -3.55%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:05
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:10
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:05
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.67%E -3.74%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:06
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -0.802%E -0.318%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 16:05
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 16:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.53%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 16:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.31%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 16:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 16:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.23%E -4.72%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 16:05
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.83%E -5.15%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:04
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.379%E +0.149%K +0.245%G +0.001%5.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.05%E -6.03%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 16:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-06 16:10
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-06 16:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-06 16:10
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-04-06 16:07