Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flavio Cobolli v Alexander Blockx

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 15:48 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prediction 63.46%1.58fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%63.61%63.41%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.481.481.5572.46%67.71%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Blockx (Visit)

Prediction 36.54%2.74fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.822%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%36.39%36.59%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.602.602.8042.55%38.51%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 63.46%; Alexander Blockx (Visit): 36.54%. For Alexander Blockx (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.2%2026-04-08 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.474%E +0.172%K +0.271%G +0.001%6.3%2026-04-08 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.88%E -6.96%K -23.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.474%E +0.172%K +0.271%G +0.001%6.8%2026-04-08 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.52%E -7.46%K -25.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.72%E -0.639%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.85%EV -11.79%E -8.48%K -30.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.15%EV -2.08%E -0.777%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 15:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 15:40
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -11.15%E -7.96%K -27.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-08 15:45
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 15:45
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 15:35
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.71%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 15:45
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 15:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -12.42%E -9.00%K -32.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 15:45
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 15:45
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.56%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:40
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -8.29%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:29
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:43
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 15:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -9.76%E -3.95%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 15:29
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -14.14%E -6.02%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -14.14%E -6.02%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-04-08 15:40
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-04-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-04-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-04-08 15:45
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%3.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%3.9%2026-04-08 15:45