La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Alexander Blockx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 63.46%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.26%63.61%63.41%66.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.481.481.5572.46%67.71%67.57%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Blockx (Visitante)
Predicción 36.54%2.74momio equitativo
EV +2.30%
Ventaja +0.822%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.81%36.39%36.59%39.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.602.602.8042.55%38.51%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.474%E +0.172%K +0.271%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.88%E -6.96%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.474%E +0.172%K +0.271%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.52%E -7.46%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.72%E -0.639%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.85%EV -11.79%E -8.48%K -30.22%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.15%EV -2.08%E -0.777%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 15:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -11.15%E -7.96%K -27.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.71%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 15:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -12.42%E -9.00%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| GTbets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 15:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.56%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -8.29%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 15:29 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 15:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 15:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 15:43 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 15:44 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -9.76%E -3.95%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 15:29 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -14.14%E -6.02%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -14.14%E -6.02%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.3% | 2026-04-08 15:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92% | 3.6% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 15:45 |