L’École des cotes

Flavio Cobolli v Alexander Blockx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 15:48 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prévision 63.46%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.26%63.61%63.41%66.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.481.481.5572.46%67.71%67.57%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Blockx (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.54%2.74cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.822%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.81%36.39%36.59%39.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.602.602.8042.55%38.51%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.2%2026-04-08 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.30%E +0.822%K +1.28%G +0.029%5.6%2026-04-08 15:45
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +0.474%E +0.172%K +0.271%G +0.001%6.3%2026-04-08 15:45
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.88%E -6.96%K -23.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.474%E +0.172%K +0.271%G +0.001%6.8%2026-04-08 15:45
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 15:44
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:45
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.52%E -7.46%K -25.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.35%E -0.501%K -0.796%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.72%E -0.639%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.85%EV -11.79%E -8.48%K -30.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.15%EV -2.08%E -0.777%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 15:44
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 15:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 15:45
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:45
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -11.15%E -7.96%K -27.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-08 15:45
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.07%E -4.10%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 15:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.28%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.64%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 15:35
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 15:40
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 15:45
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.71%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 15:45
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.34%E -5.03%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 15:44
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -12.42%E -9.00%K -32.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -5.01%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-08 15:45
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 15:45
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 15:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 15:35
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -7.56%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 15:40
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -8.29%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 15:29
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 15:25
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:35
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 15:15
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.53%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 15:35
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:43
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:45
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:45
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:44
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.56%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 15:45
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.61%E -5.98%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.66%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 15:45
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.80%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -9.76%E -3.95%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.98%E -5.50%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.49%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 15:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.27%E -1.47%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 15:29
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -14.14%E -6.02%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -14.14%E -6.02%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-04-08 15:40
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-04-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-04-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-04-08 15:45
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%3.6%2026-04-08 15:45
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%3.9%2026-04-08 15:45