The School of Odds

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Casper Ruud

Matchstart: 2026-04-09 11:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Hemma)

Prognos 26.03%3.84rättvist odds
EV +6.72%
Fördel +1.64%
Kelly +2.17%
Tillväxt +0.146%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.93%27.96%25.60%41.21%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.343.413.504.1042.74%29.34%28.57%24.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Casper Ruud (Borta)

Prognos 73.97%1.35rättvist odds
EV +21.31%
Fördel +12.99%
Kelly +33.30%
Tillväxt +7.10%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.79%72.04%74.40%77.07%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.221.311.291.6481.97%76.15%77.52%60.98%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -39.09%E -16.71%K -29.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV +21.31%E +12.99%K +33.30%G +7.10%3.7%2026-04-09 10:55
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -33.10%E -12.88%K -21.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +15.39%E +9.87%K +27.49%G +4.23%3.0%2026-04-09 10:44
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -33.10%E -12.88%K -21.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +15.39%E +9.87%K +27.49%G +4.23%3.0%2026-04-09 10:43
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -34.93%E -13.97%K -23.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +12.43%E +8.18%K +23.91%G +2.97%5.8%2026-04-09 10:44
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -36.23%E -14.79%K -24.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +12.43%E +8.18%K +23.91%G +2.97%6.6%2026-04-09 10:41
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -31.80%E -12.14%K -19.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV +7.26%E +5.00%K +16.13%G +1.17%7.1%2026-04-09 10:44
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -31.80%E -12.14%K -19.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV +6.52%E +4.53%K +14.81%G +0.965%7.6%2026-04-09 10:54
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -28.42%E -10.33%K -16.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +3.56%E +2.54%K +8.90%G +0.317%7.8%2026-04-09 10:55
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.61%E -6.76%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.08%E +1.51%K +5.47%G +0.114%5.3%2026-04-09 10:55
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -24.51%E -8.45%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +2.08%E +1.51%K +5.47%G +0.114%6.9%2026-04-09 10:53
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.880%E -0.657%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 10:54
DraftKings3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -15.14%E -4.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -0.880%E -0.657%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 10:55
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.10%E -2.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 10:55
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -16.70%E -5.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -3.10%E -2.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 10:54
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 10:55
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.69%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 10:55
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 10:55
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 10:55
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 10:55
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 10:55
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 10:55
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 10:55
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-09 10:54
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.40%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 10:55
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 10:55
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 10:55
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 10:55
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 10:55
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.06%E -4.77%K -22.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 10:55
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.06%E -4.77%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.80%E -5.39%K -26.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 10:55
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 10:55
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 10:55
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 10:55
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.39%E -0.637%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 10:55
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 10:55
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 10:55
Fliff3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 10:55
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -9.02%E -7.33%K -39.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-09 10:55
Betway4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.72%E +1.64%K +2.17%G +0.146%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 10:55
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.72%E +1.64%K +2.17%G +0.146%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 10:55
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 10:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 10:55
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 10:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 10:55
Betclic (FR)3.78I 26.46%NM 24.40%EV -1.61%E -0.425%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.60%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-09 10:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%0.1%2026-04-09 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-09 10:55
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-04-09 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-04-09 10:55
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-04-09 10:55
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%3.6%2026-04-09 10:55
Novig3.47I 28.82%NM 26.95%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%6.9%2026-04-09 10:55