L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Casper Ruud
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prévision 26.03%3.84cote équitable
EV +6.72%
Avantage +1.64%
Kelly +2.17%
Croissance +0.146%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.93%27.96%25.60%41.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.343.413.504.1042.74%29.34%28.57%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Casper Ruud (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.97%1.35cote équitable
EV +21.31%
Avantage +12.99%
Kelly +33.30%
Croissance +7.10%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.79%72.04%74.40%77.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.311.291.6481.97%76.15%77.52%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -39.09%E -16.71%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV +21.31%E +12.99%K +33.30%G +7.10% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -33.10%E -12.88%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +15.39%E +9.87%K +27.49%G +4.23% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -33.10%E -12.88%K -21.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +15.39%E +9.87%K +27.49%G +4.23% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 10:43 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -34.93%E -13.97%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +12.43%E +8.18%K +23.91%G +2.97% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -36.23%E -14.79%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +12.43%E +8.18%K +23.91%G +2.97% | 6.6% | 2026-04-09 10:41 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -31.80%E -12.14%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV +7.26%E +5.00%K +16.13%G +1.17% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -31.80%E -12.14%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV +6.52%E +4.53%K +14.81%G +0.965% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -28.42%E -10.33%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +3.56%E +2.54%K +8.90%G +0.317% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -20.61%E -6.76%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +2.08%E +1.51%K +5.47%G +0.114% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -24.51%E -8.45%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +2.08%E +1.51%K +5.47%G +0.114% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.880%E -0.657%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| DraftKings | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -15.14%E -4.65%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -0.880%E -0.657%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.10%E -2.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -16.70%E -5.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -3.10%E -2.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.84%E -2.95%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.69%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| betPARX | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Caesars | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:54 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.40%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.58%E -3.55%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.32%E -4.15%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.06%E -4.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.06%E -4.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.80%E -5.39%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +0.215%E +0.056%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.39%E -0.637%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.54%E -6.03%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Fanatics | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Fliff | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.28%E -6.68%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -9.02%E -7.33%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betway | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.72%E +1.64%K +2.17%G +0.146% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +6.72%E +1.64%K +2.17%G +0.146% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.12%E +1.03%K +1.37%G +0.057% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.40%EV -1.61%E -0.425%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.60%EV -9.76%E -8.00%K -44.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 1.8% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| ProphetX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |
| Novig | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.95% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 10:55 |